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ANALISIS MAKROEKONOMI TERHADAP INFLASI INDONESIA PASCA COVID-19 DENGAN NILAI TUKAR SEBAGAI INTERVENING

AMINULLOH, BADI’ RIZQI (2024) ANALISIS MAKROEKONOMI TERHADAP INFLASI INDONESIA PASCA COVID-19 DENGAN NILAI TUKAR SEBAGAI INTERVENING. Masters thesis, UNIVERSITAS ISLAM KADIRI.

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the impact of macroeconomics on inflation in Indonesia post COVID-19, with the exchange rate as an intervening variable. The research adopts a quantitative approach, using positivistic methods and secondary data sourced from Bank Indonesia (BI) and the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS). The population includes post COVID-19 macroeconomic data, with a sample of 48 monthly data points from January 1, 2020, to December 30, 2023. Statistical analysis yielded the following results: the money supply does not affect the exchange rate (p = 0.222), interest rates significantly affect the exchange rate (p = 0.000), the exchange rate does not affect inflation (p = 0.186), the money supply significantly affects inflation (p = 0.000), and interest rates do not affect inflation (p = 0.330). Furthermore, neither the money supply nor interest rates affect inflation when the exchange rate is used as an intervening variable (p = 0.425 and p = 0.298, respectively). These findings suggest that while interest rates significantly influence exchange rates, the exchange rate's role as an intervening variable in the relationship between macroeconomics and inflation remains limited.

Keywords: Macroeconomics, Inflation, Exchange Rate, Money Supply, Interest Rates, COVID-19

Item Type: Thesis (Masters)
Subjects: 600 - Teknologi (Ilmu Terapan) > 650 Manajemen dan hubungan masyarakat > 658 Manajemen umum
Divisions: Program Pascasarjana > Manajemen
Depositing User: Perpustakaan Pusat
Date Deposited: 22 Apr 2025 01:26
Last Modified: 22 Apr 2025 01:26
URI: http://repo.uniska-kediri.ac.id/id/eprint/1279

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